KakS simply is a social network of tips, not a political blog. However, I would like to share my vision of what is happening now. We will consider this advice or my point of view not so much on the situation itself as on the ways of its adequate and impartial perception. The media, due to the specifics of their work, rarely convey objective information, but form, first of all, the emotional background of the population. 5 minutes of news or staying on the site - and you are already full of emotions and exclaim in your hearts “oh, they are!”, “Yes we have them!” etc. But man has a great gift - abstract thinking. We have the opportunity to be distracted from what we see and hear, start asking ourselves questions and, answering them, form our own, albeit subjective, view.
The events taking place now in Ukraine are only part of the great gameplay that began in time immemorial. There are participants, goals, rules in this process, but the most important thing is that this game cannot stop. We live and live for a long time in the framework of a very complex system of geopolitical and economic mechanisms that affect almost all countries. And this system is constantly changing.
Consider the world from the point of view of the main players. Now there are three main centers of power: China, Russia and the USA + Europe. Each of these players has its own interests, goals, objectives and certain agreements with smaller players. And there are initial conditions at the current moment in which these players are. What are they like?
The United States is the largest global economy, the currency of which is the world reserve. There are a number of interesting points. To begin with, the US is also the world's largest debtor. Those. for decades, the country borrowed money from other countries for its maintenance. From the point of view of economic theory, a situation where the currency of the world's largest debtor is the reserve and the main one for the whole world is not possible. It just can't be. But why is this so? It's all about the status of the country. The USA is the “strongest” player in the political arena. This reassures lenders. Those. the logic is this: yes, we see that the United States is occupying more and more, but they are big and strong, and nothing will happen to them. Oddly enough, this kind of "yard" logic works: this bully is the strongest, and he "borrowed" money from us, but nothing, he will definitely return it to us, as he will certainly become successful. Therefore, in order to maintain its economic status, the United States is simply forced to show the world its political and military strength. This combination is a guarantee of the country's economic stability. A guarantee of the stability of its political elites. This view explains US behavior in recent decades. Military conflicts, high-profile political statements, the policy of double standards. Having an economy and currency contrary to logic, they commit the same conflicting political and military actions.
Russia has historically been a strong player. Over the past 10 years, our influence on the world has strengthened sufficiently, and we began to noticeably interfere with certain US actions. There is no malicious intent in this game. This is simply a law: if a game has a strong player, he can interfere with the strategy of another player by any of his actions. Strengthening Russia is a potential threat to US status. Those. at some point, the next U.S. action that demonstrates power may be resisted by another strong player. So recently happened to Syria. What actions should be taken by a player whose positions are increasingly threatened by another? He must weaken his position. These are just the rules of the game. Many people think: “But why just can’t stop playing and just live in peace?” Unfortunately, there is no way out of this game, and to stop playing means to lose.
Imagine you stop playing Monopoly. In a short period of time, other players will buy up all the objects around you and begin to slowly ruin you. In reality, the same thing happens. So, the US strategy is weakening Russia (and in order not to be biased, Russia's strategy is inversely proportional). And here comes such a unique opportunity - Ukraine. A neighbor, a fraternal people, torn by contradictions from the moment of separation. I will not argue that such a state of the country was artificially maintained from the outside, but the latest events have been provoked absolutely precisely, intentionally. Russia was distracted by the Olympics.
The move is done. An active party of two main parties has begun, where the main task is either to consolidate success, or not to lose ground, or minimize damage. All that we are now seeing in the media is part of a common game with its specific tasks of weakening or strengthening its position.
We will analyze the latest events. After the beginning of Crimean history, a hysteria rose in the media about the ruble exchange rate. On Monday, the course really sharply “dipped” due to panic in the markets and population. Surely, if you yourself did not begin to convert savings into dollars (note, incidentally, that you are buying up the currency of an opposing player), then you definitely succumbed to a general panic. What's next? The Central Bank had to calm panic in the markets through active foreign exchange interventions. On Monday March 3, the Central Bank spent nearly $ 10 billion to meet the demand for foreign currency, to prevent the ruble from falling even lower. This weakened Russia's reserves. Those. information warfare is also aimed at weakening the player’s position. I will no longer list the actions of the parties in the following days. In general, the logic is clear. This is a large multi-dimensional chess game. One of the thousands of parties played within the framework of world geopolitics over the past thousand years.
How does this approach to assessing the situation help? It allows you not to panic and not make the wrong decisions. I will not now praise our government and president, but this game is in any case played by professionals. The task of the inhabitants of the country, since you consider yourself to be its inhabitants, at such a moment is not to begin to interfere with your own country. No one will fight in Crimea with their own brothers. This is just a political move. One of many. The ruble is not devaluing. There are no economic reasons for this. No one will wage war with us. Neither real nor economic. All countries and economies are too tied to each other. Everyone will suffer. This is a poker game where each player has a specific set of cards and bluffs, hoping to win a con.
The saddest thing is that everything that happens strikes hard at ordinary people. Behind all these games are tears, blood and grief of ordinary people. This is an inhuman game, but these are the rules of this world. Politics is considered a "dirty business" not because they steal it. One has to make forced decisions that bring grief to his people. This is a great moral burden. And for most politicians, the center of compassion simply atrophies because of this. Remember the doctors. They have the same thing. Do you think the doctor will last long if they are emotionally involved in the grief of the patient and his relatives? He will simply quit or suck. Callousness and cruelty are a mandatory characteristic of certain professions. And politics is one of them.
Let's hope that the situation is resolved, and this party will end soon.
